Friday, May 17, 2013

Looking at some potential Dodgers' draft picks in 2013 MLB mock drafts

The 2013 MLB Draft is three weeks from yesterday. Apparently, Thursday was a big mock draft day, as Keith Law (ESPN Insider), Jonathan Mayo (MLB.com) and John Sickels (Minor League Ball) all released mocks.

Manaea
I’m going to look at all the legitimate mock drafts out there to this point to take the temperature of the experts to see who the Dodgers might target in three weeks.

LHP Ian Clarkin, Madison HS (CA)

My take: I’d be OK with his selection. Clarkin is a lefty who has decent size (6’2, 190) with a fastball in the 89-91 MPH range. With his frame, he has some projectability, so adding velocity isn’t out of the question. He also has a curveball and changeup.

LHP Matt Krook, St. Ignatius Prep HS (CA)

My take: Krook has better size than Clarkin (6’4, 195) and has more helium. He’s shooting up the draft boards. He has a low-90s fastball and a curveball.

RHP Phil Bickford, Oaks Christian HS (CA)

My take: Committed to CSU Fullerton, Bickford is a big righty (6’4, 200) with a heavy fastball that has touched 97 MPH. He has a slider that could be a plus pitch down the road. He also mixes in a changeup. His arm talent is unquestioned.

LHP Sean Manaea, Indiana State

My take: Once thought of as a surefire Top-5 selection, Manaea has fallen down draft boards due to injury concerns and decreased velocity. McDaniel makes a good case for the Dodgers popping Manaea. He’s likely going to take a lot of money to sign, and the Dodgers have plenty of that (despite the limitations).

1B/OF Dominic Smith, Serra HS (CA)

My take: I’d be shocked if Smith fell this far, as he’s a likely Top 12-15 pick at worst. If he did, however, he’d be the best player available. In the MLB Draft, taking the BPA is usually the best strategy.

OF Phillip Ervin, Samford

My take: This pick makes the least sense of them all, but I might actually like it. While I say in the latest episode of "Dugout Blues" I wouldn't be opposed to the Dodgers taking a guy like Fresno State outfielder Aaron Judge, the team really doesn't need another outfield prospect. But, the scouting reports are favorable (good hit tool, fast, athletic, strong arm), so his selection wouldn't be the worst thing. But as a college hitter, he'd be on a faster track to the majors than a high schooler. I may have talked myself into liking this potential pick.

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I’m looking forward to the draft. I’ll have some posts in the coming weeks about potential draftees. Also, Jared Massey and I will podcast after the Dodgers’ selection in the first round and post it immediate for instant analysis.

Photo credit: Courtesy of the Missouri Valley Conference

Thursday, May 16, 2013

'Dodger Talk' mentions my work, kind of, on Wednesday night's episode

It's always nice to get recognized for your work. That happened – in some way – on last night's episode of "Dodger Talk," with Kevin Kennedy and Jorge Jarrin.

I wrote an article for Yahoo! Sports about the Dodgers and them targeting starting pitching. Here's an excerpt:
"I never thought I'd be writing these words, but it appears the Dodgers might be in need of a starting pitcher before the July 31 trade deadline.
My target: Jake Peavy of the Chicago White Sox.
Peavy, 32 at the end of the month, signed a two-year, $29.5 million contract extension with the White Sox on Oct. 30. A former Cy Young award winner with the San Diego Padres, Peavy has pitched well this season. He's 5-1 with a 2.96 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, a sparkling 1.6 walks per nine innings rate and a 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The only thing concerning about Peavy is he's giving up more home runs than is preferred, with a 13.7 percent HR/FB rate. He plays in a hitter's park, but has given up just two home runs at U.S. Celluar Field this season."
Mind you, I have zero inside information on this or any trade rumors (at least for now). I was merely speculating. I even made that clear in the headline: "If the Los Angeles Dodgers target a starter, it should be Jake Peavy of the Chicago White Sox."

Much to my surprise, the first caller on "Dodger Talk" referenced my piece. Big hat tip to George Cantu, via Twitter.

Link to the show (sorry, couldn't embed it). It's at the beginning of the show and done with in six minutes.

Unfortunately, the caller takes what I wrote as a true rumor, rather than fan speculation with no basis. Kennedy touches on the "rumor" toward the end of the call.

While they didn't mention my name or anything (and I promise I wasn't the one who called), it was kind of nice to hear the piece mentioned on such a big platform.

Maybe this writing for Yahoo! stuff isn't so bad, even if the comments are. Seriously, if you want to witness the lowest of the low – the true Internet basement nerds – just read the comments on any of my submissions so far.

Here's to more recognition and notoriety in the future.

Photo credit: Joe Biewala, Flickr

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Podcast: 'Dugout Blues' episode 38 - Kiley McDaniel, MLB Draft, prospects

On this episode of "Dugout Blues," Jared Massey (Dodger Diamond) and I record have Kiley McDaniel of Scouting Baseball on to talk about some Dodger prospects and the upcoming MLB Draft.

Jared and Kiley go back and forth while I chime in occasionally. We talk mainly about the big guys at Chattanooga -- Yasiel Puig, Joc Pederson, Zach Lee and Chris Reed.

After that, we talk a lot of MLB Draft. The draft is three weeks from tomorrow. The Dodgers hold the No. 18 pick (just like last year) and could go in any number of directions.

McDaniel has the Dodgers selecting Indiana State left-hander Sean Manaea in his first mock draft. Manaea was originally thought of as a potential Top 10 pick, but decreased velocity and potential injury concerns have caused him to drop.

After McDaniel takes off (to record his own podcast, "Marginal Prospects"), Jared and I talk about some intriguing draft prospects such as prep right-hander Hunter Harvey (son of Bryan Harvey), prep catchers Jon Denney and Nick Ciuffo and, a potential wild card, Fresno State outfielder Aaron Judge.

To close, well, we actually don't answer listener questions this week (blame Jared). Our sincerest apologies. We'll get to all the questions on the next episode.

Libsyn link
Direct link
iTunes link

Look for new episodes of "Dugout Blues" every Wednesday. Don't forget to subscribe to the podcast and review us on iTunes. We want to make this the best podcast we can so we're always looking for suggestions and ways to improve.

If you have questions you'd like us to answer or certain topics/players you want to hear more about, feel free to email us (ladugout@gmail.com or feelinkindablue@gmail.com) or send us messages on Twitter (@Dodger_Diamond or @FeelinKindaBlue). You can also "Like" the podcast on Facebook. We always welcome audience participation.

Image credit: Joe Martin

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Scouting report: RHP Ross Stripling, Los Angeles Dodgers' prospect

After the first couple rounds of the MLB Draft, it’s pretty much a crapshoot. Sometimes there are gems found later in the draft: Matt Kemp (sixth round), Joc Pederson (11th round) and Matt Magill (31st round).

So, when the Dodgers drafted Ross Stripling in the fifth round, not much was made of the selection.

In his brief career, he’s proving to the team and all those who passed on him that he was worthy of a better draft position.

I saw Stripling on April 30 against the Stockton Ports. He wasn’t overly impressive – stats-wise – but he showed a lot of good things in his outing. That’s saying something, seeing as it was hit worst start of the season.

Luckily, he followed it up with a great start in San Jose before being promoted to Double-A.

Editor's note: I am not a scout (#notascout). This is an amateur scouting report based on what I know about baseball and from following the sport all my life. I don't claim to be a pro, I just want to pass along the information to the masses. Enjoy.

How he got here

Stripling, 23, was a fifth-round pick by the Dodgers in the 2012 MLB Draft. Stripling pitched collegiately at Texas A&M University and was a senior when he was popped by the Dodgers. He was drafted in the ninth round of the draft by the Colorado Rockies in 2011.

He signed for less than the $228,900 recommended slot amount. The Dodgers inked him for $130,000. As a college senior, Stripling didn’t have much leverage.

Stripling debuted with the Ogden Raptors last year and was impressive. His innings were limited due to a large workload in college. Stripling threw just 36 1/3 innings. He allowed just 26 hits, six walks and no home runs. He also struck out 37 in those 36 1/3 innings.

He opened 2013 with the High-A Rancho Cucamonga Quakes in the California League. He was promoted to Double-A on May 7 after impressing in the hitter’s league.

Vitals

Stripling is a big, athletic guy. He checks in at 6’3, 190 pounds, though, he’s probably a little bigger than that.

Repertoire

Stripling boasts a nice four-pitch mix:

  • Fastball (can sink and cut it)
  • Curveball
  • Changeup
  • Slider
Stripling was an 88-91 MPH pitcher in college. Since being draft, he’s consistently been in the low-90s. I saw him in person earlier this month and he touched 94 MPH on a few occasions.

There were questions about his velocity and whether he could sustain it. So far, he’s done just that. When he sinks and cuts his fastball, it tops out in the high-80s. The two-seamer features just a little arm-side run. His four-seamer sits at 90-93 and tops out at 94.

Stripling’s curveball is probably his best secondary offering. It features a classic 12-6 break, but he can also throw it with a little more tilt at 11-5. It’s a pitch that is in the 76-78 MPH range. It has a chance to be a plus pitch.

His changeup might be his most improved pitch. Once thought of as an average-at-best offering, his changeup now has a change to be plus. He throws it in the 80-83 MPH range and features late diving action away from left-handed hitters. He throws it more against lefties than righties.

Stripling’s slider is a work in progress. He threw just when I saw him in person. It was an 87 MPH pitch that got him a strikeout. It’s a pitch he’s said he wants to improve and have it become a weapon. It’s hard to make a judgment off one pitch, but he only threw it once, leading me to believe he’s not yet confident enough in it to throw it more often. He’ll need another pitch to throw against right-handers if he doesn’t have his curveball working on a particular day. This is a fringe-average pitch at the moment.

On the night I saw him, Stripling wasn’t particularly sharp in this outing. He didn’t have great command of his curveball, leading to a 6:10 strike-to-ball ratio with the pitch. This showed with a season-high-tying three walks. His changeup was much more efficient (nine strikes, three balls).

Delivery

Like many Dodger draftees, Stripling’s delivery is clean and polished. There’s no funk or any herky-jerky motion. It’s smooth and picturesque. He’s able to repeat it relatively easily. However, when he doesn’t, his mechanics get out of sorts and he has trouble commanding his pitches.

From the stretch, his delivery is much like it is from the windup. He didn’t feature much of a slide step. He was about 1.4 seconds from the beginning of his delivery to pop/contact.

Stripling throws from a true over-the-top arm angle, allowing him to get nice downward plane on his pitches.

Also like many Dodger pitching prospects, Stripling is athletic and should be a plus fielder as a pitcher. He falls off just a bit toward the first-base side – not uncommon. His athleticism should allow him to make up for that.

Grades

Here’s how I would grade Stripling.

Tools
Now
Future
Fastball
45
55
Curveball
55
60
Changeup
45
55
Slider
35
45
Command/Control
45
60
Delivery
50
55

Conclusion

Stripling is much better than his fifth-round draft slot. If the 2012 draft were held again, I could see Stripling easily being a third-rounder with what’s known now. His ceiling is as a middle-of-the-rotation starter who will post solid numbers. He isn’t going to be a strikeout-per-inning pitcher, but he’ll be able to get a strikeout when he needs it.

His makeup is great. He keeps his composure on the mound and has a good amount of pitchability, not unlike now-teammate Zach Lee.

Stripling’s athleticism, clean and repeatable mechanics, intelligence and poise should allow him to have a long and prosperous Major League career.


Photo credit: Dustin Nosler, Feelin' Kinda Blue