Monday, April 11, 2011

Series Preview: Dodgers at Giants April 11-13

Los Angeles Dodgers (5-4) at San Francisco Giants (4-5)
April 11-13

Games
: 10-12
Location: AT&T Park
2011 record vs. Giants: 3-1
2010 record vs. Giants: 8-10

2011: The Dodgers opened the season against the Giants. With the help of some shoddy Giant defense and masterful Dodger pitching, the Dodgers were able to win three of the four games. Clayton Kershaw threw seven shutout innings on Opening Day, the Dodgers rallied in the second game after Brandon Belt hit his first career home run off Chad Bilingsley and after a 10-0 loss on Saturday, Matt Kemp got the Dodgers started with his first home run and the pitching held up.

Game 1: Clayton Kershaw (1-1, 2.08 ERA) vs. Madison Bumgarner (0-1, 9.00 ERA)
Kershaw career vs. Giants: 44 IP, 2-1, 1.23 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 9.61 K/9, .164 BAA
Kershaw career at AT&T Park: 17 IP, 1-1, 1.06 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 5.29 K/9, .194 BAA

Bumgarner career vs. Dodgers: 6 2/3 IP, 1-0, 1.35 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 6.75 K/9, .250 BAA
Bumgarner career at AT&T Park: 50 1/3 IP, 1-3, 4.47 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 6.44 K/9, .298 BAA

Best Giants' hitters vs. Kershaw
Miguel Tejada - 5-for-15 (.333), 1 2B, 3 RBI
Freddy Sanchez - 4-for-13 (.308)
Pat Burrell - 4-for-16 (.250), 3 2B, 1 HR, 6 RBI

Aubrey Huff is 2-for-14 (.143) and Buster Posey and Andres Torres are 2-for-12 (.167) lifetime against Kershaw.

Best Dodgers' hitters vs. Bumgarner
Matt Kemp - 2-for-2
Jamey Carroll - 1-for-3 (.333)
Rafael Furcal - 1-for-3 (.333), 1 HR

Andre Ethier is 0-for-3 and James Loney and Casey Blake are 0-for-2 lifetime against Bumgarner.

Game 2: Chad Billingsley (1-1, 8.00 ERA) vs. Tim Lincecum (1-1, 0.64 ERA)
Billingsley career vs. Giants: 108 2/3 IP, 7-3, 2.73 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 7.29 K/9, .258 BAA
Billingsley career at AT&T Park: 54 IP, 2-2, 2.50 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 7.33 K/9, .275 BAA

Lincecum career vs. Dodgers: 67 1/3 IP, 5-2, 3.07 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.49 K/9, .216 BAA
Lincecum career at AT&T Park: 415 IP, 30-15, 3.06 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 10.13 K/9, .228 BAA

Best Giants' hitters vs. Billingsley
Nate Schierholtz - 6-for-14 (.429), 1 2B, 1 3B
Aaron Rowand - 7-for-20 (.350), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 4 BB
Tejada - 7-for-20 (.350), 1 HR, 4 RBI
Brandon Belt - 1-for-3 (.333), 1 HR, 3 RBI

Pablo Sandoval is 5-for-30 (.167), Sanchez is 5-for-26 (.192), Burrell is 4-for-19 (.211), Mark DeRosa is 2-for-9 (.222), Huff is 4-for-18 (.222) and Torres is 4-for-17 (.231) lifetime against Billingsley.

Best Dodgers' hitters vs. Lincecum
Marcus Thames - 2-for-3 (.667), 2 HR
Xavier Paul - 2-for-3, 1 2B
Ethier - 8-for-29 (.276), 2 HR, 6 RBI
Furcal - 6-for-23 (.261), 1 HR, 7 BB

Kemp is 3-for-21 (.143), is 0-for-3, Blake is 2-for-13 (.154) and Loney is 5-for-30 (.167) lifetime against Lincecum.

Game 3: Ted Lilly (0-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Jonathan Sanchez (0-1, 2.53 ERA)
Lilly career vs. Giants:46 2/3 IP, 3-3, 5.79 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 5.98 K/9, .282 BAA
Lilly career at AT&T Park: 18 IP, 1-2, 6.50 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 7.00 K/9, .288 BAA

Sanchez career vs. Dodgers: 67 1/3 IP, 2-6, 4.68 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 9.49 K/9, .252 BAA
Sanchez career at AT&T Park: 305 IP, 17-15, 4.13 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.29 K/9, .233 BAA

Best Giants' hitters vs. Lilly
Posey - 3-for-7 (.429), 2 HR
Rowand - 10-for-26 (.385), 2 2B, 1 HR
Sanchez - 10-for-29 (.345), 5 2B
Tejada - 15-for-54 (.278), 3 HR, 10 RBI

Burrell is 1-for-13 (.077) and Huff is 6-for-32 (.188) lifetime against Lilly.

Best Dodgers' hitters vs. Sanchez
Kemp - 11-for-29 (.379), 3 2B, 1 HR, 8 RBI, 5 SB
Rod Barajas - 4-for-11 (.364), 1 HR

Blake is 2-for-14 (.143), Ethier is 4-for-27 (.148) and Loney is 4-for-25 (.160) lifetime against Sanchez

Analysis: The Dodgers benefited from some sloppy Giant defense and luck in the first series. In this series, it appears they have the advantage on the mound with Kershaw vs. Bumgarner in Game 1. The second game has a chance to be a dandy, as both pitchers are dominant against the opposing team with Billingsley pitching well in AT&T Park in his career. Sanchez has great peripherals in his career against the Dodgers, but has been susceptible to the big hit. Lilly just does not pitch well against the Giants, even in the friendly confines of AT&T Park.

Prediction: Dodgers take the first game but lose the next two.

Next meeting: May 18-19 at Dodger Stadium

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