Friday, April 8, 2011

Series Preview: Dodgers at Padres April 8-10

Los Angeles Dodgers (3-3) at San Diego Padres (3-2)
April 8-10

Games: 7-9
Location: Petco Park
2011 record vs. Padres: N/A
2010 record vs. Padres: 8-11

2010: The Dodgers had trouble with the Padres in 2010. In other news, the sun is hot. The Padres have been a thorn in the Dodgers' side for years. The Dodgers won the first four of the first five games against the Padres, which gave us reason to think things had changed. However, they lost 10 of the last 14 against San Diego, ultimately losing the season series.

Game 1: Ted Lilly vs. Clayton Richard
Lilly career vs. Padres: 6-3, 3.06 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.79 K/9, .230 BAA
Richard career vs. Dodgers: 4-0, 2.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 5.97 K/9, .257 BAA

The best Padres' hitters vs. Lilly
Cameron Maybin - 2-for-4, 1 K
Chase Headley - .308/.357/.385, 1 2B, 1:3 BB/K ratio

Nick Hundley is 0-for-11, Orlando Hudson is 1-for-8 (.125) and Ryan Ludwick is 5-for-32 (.156) lifetime against Lilly.

The best Dodgers' hitters vs. Richard
Juan Uribe - .467/.529/.800, 1 HR, 2:3 BB/K ratio
Jamey Carroll - .455/.600/.455, 4:1 BB/K ratio
Matt Kemp - .357/.357/.429, 1 2B, 0:2 BB/K ratio

Andre Ethier is 1-for-12 (.083), Rafael Furcal is 1-for-10 (.100) and Rod Barajas is 1-for-7 (.143) lifetime against Richard.

Game 2: Hiroki Kuroda vs. Dustin Moseley
Kuroda career vs. Padres: 5-4, 4.61 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 5.10 K/9, .262 BAA
Mosley career vs. Dodgers: 2 IP, 2 H

The best Dodgers' hitters vs. Mosley
Uribe - 1-for-1, 1 HR
Aaron Miles - 1-for-1
Casey Blake - 2-for-7, 1 2B, 1:2 BB/K ratio

The best Padres' hitters vs. Kuroda
Will Venable - .438/.471/.688, 1 HR, 1:3 BB/K ratio
Brad Hawpe - .417/.385/.750, 1 HR, 0:2 BB/K ratio
Headley - .333/.400/.500, 3 2B, 2:6 BB/K ratio
Jorge Cantu - .333/.375/.600, 1 HR, 1:2 BB/K ratio

Ludwick is 1-for-8 (.125) and Hudson and Hundley are each 2-for-8 (.250) lifetime against Kuroda.

Game 3: Clayton Kershaw vs. Aaron Harang
Kershaw career vs. Padres: 4-3, 2.55 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 7.8 K/9, .210 BAA
Harang career vs. Dodgers: 2-6, 5.85 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 7.36 K/9, .316 BAA

The best Dodgers' hitters vs. Harang
Furcal - .556/.571/.722, 3 2B, 2:2 BB/K ratio
Kemp - .333/.364/.778, 1 HR, 1:2 BB/K ratio
Miles - .316/.350/.316, 1:4 BB/K ratio

Uribe is 1-for-9 (.111) and Blake is 4-for-21 (.190) lifetime against Harang.

The best Padres' hitters vs. Kershaw
Hawpe - .308/.400/.846, 2 HR, 2:5 BB/K ratio
Hundley - .273/.333/.273, 1:2 BB/K ratio

Ludwick is 2-for-14 and Venable is 1-for-7 (.143) and Headley is 5-for-23 (.217) lifetime against Kershaw.

Analysis: The first game could be the best of the series, as both Lilly and Richard have had great success against each opposing team. The Dodgers often struggle against pitchers they've seen little of, which could give Moseley the upper-hand against Kuroda. Kershaw is a Padre killer while Harang has struggled big time against LA.

Prediction: Dodgers lose the first two games, with Kershaw throwing a gem on Sunday.

Next meeting: April 29-30 through May 1

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