This is my 2013-14 off-season plan for the Dodgers -- you know, what I'd do if I were in Ned Colletti's position. I try to be as realistic as possible and try not to get too far out there. Most of the dollar figures are educated guesses.
Without further adieu, here it is. Critique away. Let me know what you like, don't like, would do differently, etc.
2013-14 Los Angeles Dodgers off-season plan
Mike Baxter - $500,000
Drew Butera - $700,000
Scott Elbert - $600,000
A.J. Ellis - $3.2 million
Kenley Jansen - $4.8 million
- The only players of significance are Ellis and Jansen. Both are getting healthy pay raises.
Clayton Kershaw - 8 years, $225 million
- This is coming before the end of the winter. I just wish it were done already. He's set to make $18.25 million in arbitration, if no long-term contract is agreed to before the season.
Dodger free agents
J.P. Howell - 2 years, $7 million
Nick Punto - 1 year, $1.5 million
Brian Wilson - 2 years, $11 million
- Think Howell and Punto could be had rather easily. Not so confident Wilson will come back because he could get more money and a closing job elsewhere.
Eric Chavez - 1 year, $3.2 million
Alexander Guerrero - 4 years, $28 million ($10 million signing bonus)
Dan Haren - 1 year, $5 million (with incentives up to $8 million)
James McDonald - 1 year, $1 million
Masahiro Tanaka - 6 years, $63 million ($52 million posting fee)
Chris Young - 1 year, $3.5 million
- Tanaka is the big prize here. My $115 million commitment is probably a little on the light side. Haren rounds out a strong rotation while Chavez and Young give the Dodgers some much-needed pop off the bench.
Ronald Belisario (due $2.3 milliion in arbitration)
Elian Herrera (claimed by Milwaukee)
Brandon League - 2 years, $15 million remaining
- Belisario isn't worth what he'll make in arbitration. Herrera is already gone. And while I defended the League contract at the time of its signing, I couldn't have been more wrong about it.
Chad Billingsley (due back midseason)
Scott Elbert (due back midseason)
- Both should return in relief roles. Billingsley could crack the roatation later this season if his arm is healthy enough.
To New York Mets: OF Andre Ethier, cash ($23.8 million, 1/3 of remaining salary)
- The Mets need Major League-quality outfielders, but the Mets don't have a catcher or third baseman they'd trade the Dodgers for Ethier, so it's best to get a couple of mid-level prospects without having to pay all of Ethier's salary.
To Minnesota: RHP Josh Beckett, cash ($10 million)
To LA: SS Niko Goodrum
- Beckett should be healthy to start the 2014 seaosn and won't crack this rotation. The Twins just need guys who can eat innings. Goodrum is a nice high-upside prospect who probably won't ever become anything, but he's a middle-of-the-diamond player for the time being.
To LA: 3B Chase Headley
- The Dodgers have been after Headley for awhile. After a down year and a projected $10 million salary, it's probably time for the Padres to trade him. They get two MLB-ready arms and a power-hitting prospect who's a few years away.
Yasiel Puig RF
Matt Kemp CF
Chase Headley 3B
Alexander Guerrero 2B
A.J. Ellis C
Clayton Kershaw LHP
Zack Greinke RHP
Hyun-jin Ryu LHP
Masahiro Tanaka RHP
Dan Haren RHP
James McDonald RHP
J.P. Howell LHP
Jose Dominguez RHP
Paco Rodriguez LHP
Chris Withrow RHP
Brian Wilson RHP
Kenley Jansen RHP
Eric Chavez 3B/1B
Nick Punto IF
Scott Van Slyke OF/1B
Chris Young OF
Remainder of 40-man roster
Mike Baxter OF
Drew Butera C
Stephen Fife RHP
Onelki Garcia LHP
Yimi Garcia RHP
Dee Gordon IF/OF
Javy Guerra RHP
Matt Magill RHP
Shawn Tolleson RHP
That's it. Like I said, let me know what you think in the comments section or on Twitter.
Photo credit: Dustin Nosler, Feelin' Kinda Blue